Senior Analyst, Forecasting & Commercial Modelling

• Own and maintain the APAC enrolment forecasting framework across university partners and study periods
• Develop, refine and continuously improve forecasting methodologies, assumptions and scenario models
• Deliver rolling forecasts, variance analysis and study-period performance reporting
• Prepare and present forecast reviews and recommendations to senior stakeholders
• Drive the annual enrolment forecasting process to support budget and planning cycles

• Develop automated pacing tools that provide real-time visibility into enrolment performance
• Identify risks and opportunities early through scenario analysis and predictive modelling
• Evaluate the commercial impact of pricing changes, marketing initiatives, operational capacity and channel performance
• Translate enrolment trends into actionable workforce, operational and financial insights

• Build commercial and financial models to support new programs, partnerships and market expansion opportunities
• Assess business cases, pricing strategies, investment decisions and ROI scenarios
• Support long-term strategic planning through robust growth and revenue modelling
• Turn emerging ideas into evidence-based recommendations and commercially viable solutions

• Monitor and analyse the performance of newly launched products and initiatives
• Lead post-implementation reviews to assess outcomes against forecasts, assumptions and commercial expectations
• Identify opportunities for optimisation and continuous improvement

• Partner with Workforce Planning to ensure enrolment forecasts translate into effective staffing plans
• Align modelling assumptions and performance measures across Sales, Marketing, Product and Finance teams
• Collaborate with Data Engineering to drive automation, scalability and data quality improvements

• Enhance forecasting processes, automation and quality assurance frameworks
• Maintain forecasting standards, documentation and modelling best practices
• Coach business leaders on forecast interpretation, scenario planning and data-driven decision making
• Champion analytical rigour and continuous improvement across the organisation

You combine exceptional analytical capability with strong commercial acumen and stakeholder influence.

You enjoy solving complex business problems, challenging assumptions and helping leaders make informed decisions backed by data.

• Bachelor's degree in Analytics, Data Science, Economics, Finance, Statistics, Mathematics or a related quantitative discipline
• Postgraduate qualifications in Analytics, Finance, Econometrics or a related field are advantageous

You'll bring:

• 8+ years' experience in forecasting, commercial analytics, financial modelling or demand planning
• Proven success developing enterprise forecasting frameworks and scenario modelling approaches
• Deep experience in financial modelling, ROI analysis, pricing strategy and investment evaluation
• Strong experience building performance tracking, pacing or predictive analytics solutions
• Ability to influence and communicate effectively with senior stakeholders
• Experience partnering with cross-functional teams across Marketing, Sales, Product and Finance
• Exposure to data engineering, automation initiatives and modern data platforms
• Education or EdTech experience is desirable but not essential

• Advanced forecasting, statistical analysis and commercial modelling capability
• Expert-level Excel skills with strong financial modelling experience
• Advanced Power BI skills including dashboard development and executive reporting
• SQL proficiency and experience working with modern cloud-based data environments such as Microsoft Fabric
• Experience using Python and/or R will be highly regarded
• Strong presentation, storytelling and executive communication skills
• Exceptional attention to detail, critical thinking and numerical reasoning

In this role, you'll deliver accurate and trusted forecasts, provide commercial insights that drive strategic decisions, and build scalable modelling capabilities that enable sustainable growth across the APAC business.

Your work will help Keypath make smarter investments, optimise performance and continue expanding access to education for learners around the world.

Ready to Make an Impact?

If you're passionate about forecasting, commercial analytics and strategic decision making, and want to work in a business where your insights genuinely influence outcomes, we'd love to hear from you.

At Keypath, we're committed to building an inclusive workplace where diverse perspectives, experiences and backgrounds are valued and celebrated.

Preferred candidates may be required to complete a police check and other pre-employment screening requirements.

Applicants must be based in Australia and hold unrestricted working